UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
Anaheim, USA
29 Jul 2017
Featherweight
VS
55%
Ortega
45%
Moicano
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Ortega
This is a genuine toss-up — Ortega at 55% vs Moicano at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moicano has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Ortega
Moicano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
69"
Reach
+72"
35+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Ortega
Moicano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
62.1
50.3
53.7
Performance Avg
51.7
48
Quality of Victory
43
80
Momentum Score
64
Ortega
Moicano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.9
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.1
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
20
3
Body
2
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
18Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Ortega
Moicano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ortega
Moicano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
6
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/21 fights
Chin rating based on
20/28 fights
Ortega
Moicano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
64
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Ortega
Moicano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
62%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
7
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ortega
Moicano
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.4
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
OrtegaMoicano
Strike Zones
Ortega
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedMoicano
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ortega targets the head (83% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Moicano targets the head (77% of attacks) — Ortega absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ortega
RND
Moicano
0/0R00/0
Ortega · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Moicano · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Ortega · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Diego LopesRating 6.8Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Sub · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 6.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Yair RodriguezRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Moicano · Last 5
W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

