UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2
Montevideo, Uruguay
10 Aug 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
51%
Hardy
49%
Viana
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:09
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hardy
This is a genuine toss-up — Hardy at 51% vs Viana at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Viana has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Viana throws more volume but Hardy connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hardy's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Viana has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hardy
Viana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
64"
Reach
+67"
30+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hardy
Viana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
40.1
38.5
Performance Avg
46.6
31
Quality of Victory
56
55
Momentum Score
0
Hardy
Viana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.2
45%
Strike Accuracy
39%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hardy
Viana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hardy
Viana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
24
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Hardy
Viana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
0
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Hardy
Viana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
3
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hardy
Viana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.2
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
HardyViana
Strike Zones
Hardy
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedViana
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hardy targets the body (100% of attacks) — Viana absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Viana targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hardy absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hardy
RND
Viana
0/0R00/0
Hardy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Viana · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Hardy · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brogan WalkerRating 4.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
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W · Dec · R3
JJ AldrichRating 5.1Decision
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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Viana · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Alice ArdeleanRating 3.5Submission
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L · Sub · R2
Jaqueline AmorimRating 4.6Submission
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Gillian RobertsonRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Sub · R2
Iasmin LucindoRating 3.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
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Jinh Yu FreyRating 5KO/TKO
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