UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
40%
Cirkunov
60%
Spann
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:11
MC
Misha Cirkunov
15 – 9
6'3"77" reachOrthodox39 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 28
Ryan
Ryan Spann
"Superman"
24 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak34 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'5"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Spann

Spann holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Cirkunov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cirkunov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cirkunov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Spann has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cirkunov
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+79"
39
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cirkunov
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
43.3
50.1
Performance Avg
54.8
53
Quality of Victory
50
59
Momentum Score
10
Cirkunov
Spann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
40%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
14
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Cirkunov
Spann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
6.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
4.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cirkunov
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
16/35 fights
Cirkunov
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
10
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Cirkunov
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cirkunov
Spann
Striking2.6 / 5.3Volume0.9 / 2.9Grappling6.7 / 3.7Wrestling4.7 / 2.6Submission8.3 / 4.0Pressure8.4 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
6.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
4.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
Cirkunov
Strike Zones
Spann
Cirkunov
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY0LEGS16 absorbed
Spann
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY0LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cirkunov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (88% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cirkunov
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cirkunov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.2W5.8W6.2W2.3L1.9L5.0W2.3L6.5W1.9L5.5L2.8L2.4L2015-082017-052019-092022-10
WinLossTrend

Spann · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W2.3L5.0W2.7L5.3W6.0W2.7L6.7L4.8L5.6W4.3L5.0W5.2W2018-092020-092022-112024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Cirkunov · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 2.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09

Spann · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

News & Media

Misha Cirkunov · Ryan Spann
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