METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
40%
Cirkunov
60%
Spann
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:11
★ Official Result
Ryan SpannwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:11
def. Misha Cirkunov · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Spann
→
Actual result
Spann wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Spann holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Cirkunov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Cirkunov's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spann has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CirkunovSpann
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cirkunov
Spann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'5"
77"
Reach
+79"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cirkunov
Spann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
41.9
50.1
Performance Avg
53.3
53
Quality of Victory
50
59
Momentum Score
10
Cirkunov
Spann
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
8.4
Style: Pressure
7.4
0.9
Style: Volume
2.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
14
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Cirkunov
Spann
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
4.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
8.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
5
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cirkunov
Spann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/24 fights
Chin rating based on
17/35 fights
Cirkunov
Spann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
10
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Cirkunov
Spann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
80%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
4
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cirkunov
Spann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.2
6.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
4.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
8.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
8.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
CirkunovSpann
Strike Zones
Cirkunov
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedSpann
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cirkunov targets the head (100% of attacks) — Spann absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Spann targets the head (88% of attacks) — Cirkunov absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cirkunov
RND
Spann
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cirkunov · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
L · Sub · R2
Wellington TurmanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · KO · R1
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
W · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · 2019-09
Spann · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
W · KO · R2
Marcus BuchechaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiSubmission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Waldo Cortes AcostaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Sub · R1
Ovince Saint PreuxSubmission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10