UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
Moscow, Russia
9 Nov 2019
Middleweight
VS
74%
Kopylov
26%
Roberson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:01
Roman
Roman Kopylov
15 – 5
6'0"75" reachSouthpaw34 yrsStriker
CFR 54
KR
Karl Roberson
"Baby K"
9 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kopylov

Kopylov is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Kopylov throws more volume but Roberson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Roberson has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kopylov
Roberson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
34+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Kopylov
Roberson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
18.7
50.3
Performance Avg
38.3
45
Quality of Victory
37
58
Momentum Score
25
Kopylov
Roberson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
9
4
Body
1
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
14Distance15
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Kopylov
Roberson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kopylov
Roberson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
8
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Kopylov
Roberson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
25
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Kopylov
Roberson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kopylov
Roberson
Striking8.3 / 0.8Volume3.5 / 4.8Grappling0.7 / 5.2Wrestling0.5 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure6.8 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Kopylov
Strike Zones
Roberson
Kopylov
Attacking
10HEAD4BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY6LEGS16 absorbed
Roberson
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY6LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD4BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kopylov targets the head (71% of attacks) — Roberson absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Roberson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Kopylov absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kopylov
RND
Roberson
0/0R00/0

Kopylov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.0L5.5L5.5W6.2W5.6W5.2W4.2L5.6W6.2W6.5L7.1L5.8W2019-112023-012024-022025-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Roberson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.0W1.5L4.5W1.9L4.5W6.5W2.3L2.8L3.7L5.3L2017-112019-012020-062022-07
WinLossTrend

Kopylov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Marco TulioRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06

Roberson · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Marvin VettoriRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Sub · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

News & Media

Roman Kopylov · Karl Roberson
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