METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
Moscow, Russia
9 Nov 2019
Middleweight
VS
74%
Kopylov
26%
Roberson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 4:01
★ Official Result
Karl RobersonwinsSubmissionR3 · 4:01
def. Roman Kopylov · UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kopylov
→
Actual result
Roberson wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Kopylov is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Kopylov throws more volume but Roberson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Roberson has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KopylovRoberson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kopylov
Roberson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
75"+
Reach
74"
34+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Kopylov
Roberson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
18.7
50.3
Performance Avg
38.3
45
Quality of Victory
37
58
Momentum Score
25
Kopylov
Roberson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
9
4
Body
1
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
14Distance15
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Kopylov
Roberson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kopylov
Roberson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
8
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Kopylov
Roberson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
25
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Kopylov
Roberson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
50%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kopylov
Roberson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
KopylovRoberson
Strike Zones
Kopylov
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedRoberson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kopylov targets the head (71% of attacks) — Roberson absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Roberson targets the head (56% of attacks) — Kopylov absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kopylov
RND
Roberson
0/0R00/0
Kopylov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Roberson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Kopylov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Marco TulioRating 5.8Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Gregory RodriguesRating 7.1Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Paulo CostaRating 6.5Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
W · Dec · R3
Cesar AlmeidaRating 5.6Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
Roberson · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Marvin VettoriRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Sub · R3
Roman KopylovRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11