METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Elmont, USA
16 Jul 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
50%
Murphy
50%
Tate
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Lauren MurphywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Miesha Tate · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Murphy
→
Actual result
Murphy wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Murphy at 50% vs Tate at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Murphy's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tate has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MurphyTate
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Murphy
Tate
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
67"+
Reach
65"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Murphy
Tate
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.7
52.5
41.9
Performance Avg
42.5
34
Quality of Victory
38
87
Momentum Score
94
Murphy
Tate
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
4.5
6.1
Style: Volume
5.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
22
9
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
27Distance26
11Clinch2
0Ground0
Murphy
Tate
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.9
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Murphy
Tate
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/23 fights
Chin rating based on
14/30 fights
Murphy
Tate
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
87
94
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Murphy
Tate
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
43%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Murphy
Tate
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
MurphyTate
Strike Zones
Murphy
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTate
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Murphy targets the head (76% of attacks) — Tate absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Tate targets the head (79% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Murphy
RND
Tate
0/0R00/0
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeDecision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoKO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodDecision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Tate · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R3
Julia AvilaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
W · KO · R3
Marion ReneauKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07