METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
Atlanta, USA
21 Apr 2012
Welterweight
VS
42%
MacDonald
58%
Mills
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:20
★ Official Result
Rory MacDonaldwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:20
def. Che Mills · UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mills
→
Actual result
MacDonald wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — MacDonald at 42% vs Mills at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mills has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
MacDonald's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MacDonaldMills
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
MacDonald
Mills
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
37+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
MacDonald
Mills
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
25.5
51.3
Performance Avg
62.7
39
Quality of Victory
60
61
Momentum Score
95
MacDonald
Mills
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
9.0
5.8
Style: Volume
1.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
18Ground0
MacDonald
Mills
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
MacDonald
Mills
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/26 fights
MacDonald
Mills
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
95
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
MacDonald
Mills
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
MacDonald
Mills
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
MacDonaldMills
Strike Zones
MacDonald
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMills
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mills absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mills targets the legs (100% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
MacDonald
RND
Mills
0/0R00/0
MacDonald · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Stephen ThompsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R5
Robbie LawlerKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R3
Tarec SaffiedineKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyDecision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaDecision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
Mills · Last 4
Upcoming
Matthew RiddleUFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
W · KO · R1
Duane LudwigKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Rory MacDonaldKO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · KO · R1
Chris CopeKO/TKO
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz · 2011-11