UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2
Anaheim, USA
29 Jul 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
23%
Manuwa
77%
Oezdemir
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:42
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Oezdemir
Oezdemir is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Oezdemir throws more volume but Manuwa connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Manuwa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oezdemir has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Manuwa
Oezdemir
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
79"+
Reach
75"
46
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Manuwa
Oezdemir
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
50.6
45.2
Performance Avg
50.8
42
Quality of Victory
47
53
Momentum Score
52
Manuwa
Oezdemir
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.0
53%
Strike Accuracy
48%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
10
1
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance3
2Clinch8
0Ground1
Manuwa
Oezdemir
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.4
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
0.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Manuwa
Oezdemir
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
36
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
16/29 fights
Manuwa
Oezdemir
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
52
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Manuwa
Oezdemir
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Manuwa
Oezdemir
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
0.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
ManuwaOezdemir
Strike Zones
Manuwa
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedOezdemir
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Manuwa targets the body (50% of attacks) — Oezdemir absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Oezdemir targets the head (83% of attacks) — Manuwa absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Manuwa
RND
Oezdemir
0/0R00/0
Manuwa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Oezdemir · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Manuwa · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Aleksandar RakicRating 1.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Thiago SantosRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
W · KO · R1
Corey AndersonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
Oezdemir · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Alonzo MenifieldRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · KO · R1
Johnny WalkerRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nikita KrylovRating 6.7Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
