UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
Jaragua do Sul, Brazil
15 Feb 2014
Welterweight
VS
44%
Alcantara
56%
Tumenov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
IA
Ildemar Alcantara
"Marajo"
21 – 11
6'2"78" reachOrthodox43 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
AT
Albert Tumenov
"Einstein"
18 – 4
Striker2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Tumenov

This is a genuine toss-up — Alcantara at 44% vs Tumenov at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Tumenov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Tumenov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Alcantara
Tumenov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'11"
78"+
Reach
73"
43
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alcantara
Tumenov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
20.6
41.5
Performance Avg
52.6
31
Quality of Victory
46
53
Momentum Score
76
Alcantara
Tumenov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.6
33%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
7
3
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Alcantara
Tumenov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
2.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alcantara
Tumenov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/32 fights
Chin rating based on
8/22 fights
Alcantara
Tumenov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
76
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Alcantara
Tumenov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Alcantara
Tumenov
Striking1.1 / 7.3Volume7.1 / 4.5Grappling3.8 / 1.0Wrestling2.7 / 0.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 6.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Alcantara
Strike Zones
Tumenov
Alcantara
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY2LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Tumenov
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY2LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Alcantara targets the head (74% of attacks) — Tumenov absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Tumenov targets the head (70% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Alcantara
RND
Tumenov
0/0R00/0

Alcantara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2013-012013-102014-072015-07
WinLossTrend

Tumenov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.0W4.5W3.8L5.1L2014-022014-102015-102016-052016-10
WinLossTrend

Alcantara · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin CaseyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Richardson MoreiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida · 2014-07
W · Dec · R3
Albert TumenovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02
L · Dec · R3
Igor AraujoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10

Tumenov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
L · Sub · R2
Gunnar NelsonRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Lorenz LarkinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit · 2016-01
W · KO · R1
Alan JoubanRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Nicholas MusokeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

News & Media

Ildemar Alcantara · Albert Tumenov
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