UFC 40: Vendetta
Las Vegas, USA
22 Nov 2002
Welterweight
VS
53%
Newton
47%
Spratt
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Newton
This is a genuine toss-up — Newton at 53% vs Spratt at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Newton has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Spratt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Newton's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Spratt has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Newton
Spratt
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
49+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Newton
Spratt
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
19.0
54.9
Performance Avg
47.7
63
Quality of Victory
51
72
Momentum Score
59
Newton
Spratt
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
0.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Newton
Spratt
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
3
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Newton
Spratt
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/30 fights
Chin rating based on
7/48 fights
Newton
Spratt
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
59
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Newton
Spratt
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Newton
Spratt
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.3
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
NewtonSpratt
Strike Zones
Newton
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSpratt
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spratt targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Newton absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Newton
RND
Spratt
0/0R00/0
Newton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Spratt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
Newton · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Renato VerissimoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 46: Supernatural · 2004-01
W · Sub · R1
Pete SprattRating 5Submission
UFC 40: Vendetta · 2002-11
L · KO · R4
Matt HughesRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
L · KO · R2
Matt HughesRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 34: High Voltage · 2001-11
W · Sub · R3
Pat MiletichRating 5.2Submission
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05
Spratt · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Tamdan McCroryRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Stout vs Fisher · 2007-06
L · Sub · R2
Marcus DavisRating 2.8Submission
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy JacksonRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Sub · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · Sub · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 5.5Submission
UFC 42: Sudden Impact · 2003-04