UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier
Fairfax, USA
15 May 2012
Lightweight
VS
39%
Cerrone
61%
Stephens
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
Jeremy
Jeremy Stephens
"Lil' Heathen"
29 – 23
Well-Rounded7-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'9"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Stephens

Stephens holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Cerrone has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Cerrone has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerrone
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
71"
43
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerrone
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
45.0
53.0
Performance Avg
41.1
47
Quality of Victory
40
63
Momentum Score
76
Cerrone
Stephens
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
10 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
13
13
Body
1
8
Leg
4
RangeRange
30Distance17
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Cerrone
Stephens
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Cerrone
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
76
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Cerrone
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
47%
10
KO / TKO Wins
7
6
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone
Stephens
Striking5.6 / 5.5Volume3.7 / 4.6Grappling2.8 / 1.1Wrestling2.0 / 0.8Submission2.6 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Cerrone
Strike Zones
Stephens
Cerrone
Attacking
10HEAD13BODY8LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD1BODY4LEGS18 absorbed
Stephens
Attacking
13HEAD1BODY4LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD13BODY8LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the body (42% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 42% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (72% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Stephens · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L4.5W5.2W5.5L5.7W2.8L5.5L4.0W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W6.0L6.9L5.5W6.6L4.5W5.5L6.3L4.5W6.9W5.2W2.0L5.5L7.1L3.2L2.6L6.5L2.2L2007-052010-092014-062018-022026-05
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Stephens · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 2.2
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Jeremy Stephens
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