UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley
Las Vegas, USA
19 Sept 2020
Middleweight
VS
56%
Chimaev
44%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:17
Khamzat
Khamzat Chimaev
"Borz"
15 – 1
6'2"75" reachOrthodox32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 73
Gerald
Gerald Meerschaert
"GM3"
37 – 22
Submission Hunter5-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Chimaev

This is a genuine toss-up — Chimaev at 56% vs Meerschaert at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Chimaev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Chimaev
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
+77"
32+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Chimaev
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
73.2
56.7
65.1
Performance Avg
48.2
49
Quality of Victory
50
100
Momentum Score
91
Chimaev
Meerschaert
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
45%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Chimaev
Meerschaert
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
7.3
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chimaev
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Chimaev
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
91
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Chimaev
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
11
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Chimaev
Meerschaert
Striking4.0 / 1.8Volume4.5 / 0.9Grappling4.4 / 7.3Wrestling3.0 / 5.1Submission4.4 / 9.2Pressure7.4 / 8.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
4.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
Chimaev
Strike Zones
Meerschaert
Chimaev
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Meerschaert
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Chimaev targets the head (75% of attacks) — Meerschaert absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Chimaev
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Chimaev · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.0W6.1W5.8W4.7W5.6W5.6W5.9W6.4W6.6L2020-072021-102023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Meerschaert · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.2W2.4L6.1L5.7W6.3L5.5W1.5L3.4L5.0W6.3W5.5W5.5L6.8W3.5L6.0L5.7W6.7W5.0L5.5L2.5L2.1L6.5L2016-122019-082021-122024-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Chimaev · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
Robert WhittakerRating 5.9
Submission
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09

Meerschaert · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Sub · R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11

News & Media

Khamzat Chimaev · Gerald Meerschaert
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