UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises
Las Vegas, USA
17 Jul 2021
Flyweight
VS
50%
Figueiredo
50%
Gordon
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Figueiredo
This is a genuine toss-up — Figueiredo at 50% vs Gordon at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Gordon throws more volume but Figueiredo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Gordon has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Figueiredo
Gordon
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
68"
Reach
+71"
36
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Figueiredo
Gordon
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.3
28.5
43.7
Performance Avg
36.9
40
Quality of Victory
43
66
Momentum Score
10
Figueiredo
Gordon
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.0
63%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
8
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground8
Figueiredo
Gordon
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Figueiredo
Gordon
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
20
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/18 fights
Chin rating based on
7/22 fights
Figueiredo
Gordon
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
10
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Figueiredo
Gordon
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Figueiredo
Gordon
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
FigueiredoGordon
Strike Zones
Figueiredo
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedGordon
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Figueiredo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gordon targets the head (89% of attacks) — Figueiredo absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Figueiredo
RND
Gordon
0/0R00/0
Figueiredo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Gordon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Figueiredo · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Amir AlbaziRating 2.8Submission
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Sub · R1
Daniel LacerdaRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
L · Dec · R3
Malcolm GordonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Jerome RiveraRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Jimmy FlickRating 3.2Submission
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · KO · R1
Jake HadleyRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4Submission
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · KO · R1
Denys BondarRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Francisco FigueiredoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
