UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Bantamweight
VS
37%
Andrade
63%
Yan
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Yan
Yan holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Andrade has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Yan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Andrade
Yan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
68"+
Reach
67"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Andrade
Yan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.4
65.1
42.2
Performance Avg
56.4
37
Quality of Victory
44
28
Momentum Score
100
Andrade
Yan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.7
39%
Strike Accuracy
57%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
35
3
Body
8
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance14
1Clinch8
0Ground23
Andrade
Yan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Yan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/36 fights
Chin rating based on
16/25 fights
Andrade
Yan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Andrade
Yan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Yan
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
AndradeYan
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedYan
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (50% of attacks) — Yan absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Yan targets the head (78% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Yan
0/0R00/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Yan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Javier ReyesRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
W · Sub · R2
Sergey MorozovRating 5.2Submission
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
Yan · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R5
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

