METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Welterweight
VS
53%
Cote
47%
Burkman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:26
JB
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Patrick CotewinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:26
def. Joshua Burkman · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cote
→
Actual result
Cote wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cote at 53% vs Burkman at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Cote's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burkman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CoteBurkman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cote
Burkman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cote
Burkman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
14.3
41.8
Performance Avg
34.7
38
Quality of Victory
36
79
Momentum Score
80
Cote
Burkman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
3.3
5.0
Style: Volume
6.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
12
0
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance15
0Clinch0
20Ground0
Cote
Burkman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cote
Burkman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
19/44 fights
Cote
Burkman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cote
Burkman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cote
Burkman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
CoteBurkman
Strike Zones
Cote
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedBurkman
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cote targets the head (93% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Burkman targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cote
RND
Burkman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cote · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesDecision
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L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneKO/TKO
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W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsDecision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
Burkman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderDecision
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