UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Welterweight
VS
53%
Cote
47%
Burkman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:26
PC
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
23 – 11
5'11"75" reachOrthodox46 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
JB
Joshua Burkman
"The People's Warrior"
28 – 16
Well-Rounded5-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cote

This is a genuine toss-up — Cote at 53% vs Burkman at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Cote has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Cote's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burkman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cote
Burkman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cote
Burkman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
14.3
41.8
Performance Avg
34.7
38
Quality of Victory
36
79
Momentum Score
80
Cote
Burkman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
12
0
Body
3
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance15
0Clinch0
20Ground0
Cote
Burkman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cote
Burkman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/34 fights
Chin rating based on
19/44 fights
Cote
Burkman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Cote
Burkman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cote
Burkman
Striking5.0 / 2.3Volume5.0 / 6.0Grappling1.2 / 2.9Wrestling0.8 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure4.2 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Cote
Strike Zones
Burkman
Cote
Attacking
27HEAD0BODY2LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Burkman
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD0BODY2LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cote targets the head (93% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Burkman targets the head (80% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cote
RND
Burkman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cote · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L2.8L5.5L5.5L4.0W4.5W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.5L2004-102008-012012-112016-012017-04
WinLossTrend

Burkman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L4.0L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L2.7L1.5L2005-112007-052015-052017-032018-02
WinLossTrend

Cote · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

Burkman · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

News & Media

Patrick Cote · Joshua Burkman
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