METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Uberlandia, Brazil
8 Nov 2014
Bantamweight
VS
87%
Almeida
13%
Gorman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thomas AlmeidawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tim Gorman · UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almeida
→
Actual result
Almeida wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Almeida is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 51 points.
Risk flags
Almeida's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlmeidaGorman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Almeida
Gorman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
70"
Reach
35+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Almeida
Gorman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
2.7
50.6
Performance Avg
0.0
51
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Almeida
Gorman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
7.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.6
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
23
8
Body
1
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
43Distance24
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Almeida
Gorman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Almeida
Gorman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Almeida
Gorman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Almeida
Gorman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Gorman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AlmeidaGorman
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedGorman
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (64% of attacks) — Gorman absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Gorman targets the head (96% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Gorman
0/0R00/0
Almeida · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Sean O'MalleyKO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Rob FontKO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · KO · R2
Albert MoralesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Gorman · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Thomas AlmeidaDecision
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Mitch GagnonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04