UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Uberlandia, Brazil
8 Nov 2014
Bantamweight
VS
87%
Almeida
13%
Gorman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Almeida
Almeida is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 51 points.
Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Almeida's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Almeida
Gorman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
70"
Reach
34+
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Almeida
Gorman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.4
2.7
50.6
Performance Avg
0.0
51
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Almeida
Gorman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.9
45%
Strike Accuracy
28%
9.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
23
8
Body
1
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
43Distance24
2Clinch0
0Ground0
Almeida
Gorman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Almeida
Gorman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/13 fights
Almeida
Gorman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Almeida
Gorman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Gorman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AlmeidaGorman
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
45 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedGorman
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
45 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (64% of attacks) — Gorman absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Gorman targets the head (96% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Gorman
0/0R00/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Gorman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · 2020-10
L · KO · R2
Rob FontRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · Dec · R3
Jimmie RiveraRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · KO · R2
Albert MoralesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Gorman · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Thomas AlmeidaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Mitch GagnonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04