UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Mexico City, Mexico
21 Sept 2019
Featherweight
VS
45%
Bravo
55%
Peterson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Peterson
This is a genuine toss-up — Bravo at 45% vs Peterson at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bravo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 65 points.
Striking split: Bravo throws more volume but Peterson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Bravo's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Bravo
Peterson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
32+
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Bravo
Peterson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.0
28.4
70.0
Performance Avg
36.0
100
Quality of Victory
35
29
Momentum Score
25
Bravo
Peterson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.4
39%
Strike Accuracy
40%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
13
5
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance11
1Clinch1
0Ground2
Bravo
Peterson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bravo
Peterson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
8/30 fights
Bravo
Peterson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
25
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Bravo
Peterson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Bravo
Peterson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
BravoPeterson
Strike Zones
Bravo
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedPeterson
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Bravo targets the head (71% of attacks) — Peterson absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Peterson targets the head (93% of attacks) — Bravo absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Bravo
RND
Peterson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bravo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Peterson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Bravo · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Steven PetersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Humberto BandenayRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
W · KO · R2
Claudio PuellesRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · 2016-11
Peterson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Lucas AlexanderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Julian ErosaRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
W · Dec · R3
Chase HooperRating 5.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · KO · R2
Martin BravoRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07