UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
20 May 2023
Lightweight
VS
47%
53%
Borshchev
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:37
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Borshchev
This is a genuine toss-up — at 47% vs Borshchev at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Borshchev has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Borshchev has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Borshchev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
71"+
Reach
69"
26+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Borshchev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.1
45.4
38.8
Performance Avg
41.3
43
Quality of Victory
47
26
Momentum Score
40
Borshchev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.8
30%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
17
0
Body
6
1
Leg
5
RangeRange
8Distance20
2Clinch4
0Ground4
Borshchev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Borshchev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
68
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Borshchev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Borshchev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Borshchev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Strike Zones
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedBorshchev
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (90% of attacks) — Borshchev absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Borshchev targets the head (61% of attacks) — absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Borshchev
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Borshchev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
· Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Nikolas MottaRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Gabriel BenitezRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Rafa GarciaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
Borshchev · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matheus CamiloRating 5.6Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanRating 7Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
James LlontopRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
L · Sub · R2
Chase HooperRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

