UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
28 Dec 2013
Welterweight
VS
80%
Macario
20%
Voelker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
WM
William Macario
"Patolino"
9 – 3
5'11"75" reachOrthodox34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 8
BV
Bobby Voelker
"Vicious"
19 – 13
Well-Rounded4-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Macario

Macario is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

Macario has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Macario has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Macario's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Macario
Voelker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
34+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Macario
Voelker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.1
2.0
25.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
17
Momentum Score
0
Macario
Voelker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
37%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
18
5
Body
3
14
Leg
3
RangeRange
45Distance18
4Clinch6
1Ground0
Macario
Voelker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Macario
Voelker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/12 fights
Chin rating based on
4/32 fights
Macario
Voelker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Macario
Voelker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Macario
Voelker
Striking0.5 / 0.0Volume8.5 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Macario
Strike Zones
Voelker
Macario
Attacking
31HEAD5BODY14LEGS50 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD3BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Voelker
Attacking
18HEAD3BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD5BODY14LEGS50 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Macario targets the head (62% of attacks) — Voelker absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Voelker targets the head (75% of attacks) — Macario absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Macario
RND
Voelker
0/0R00/0

Macario · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0102.8L4.5W4.6L1.5L2013-062013-122014-102015-02
WinLossTrend

Voelker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L3.0L5.5L5.5L2013-032013-072013-122014-06
WinLossTrend

Macario · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Matt DwyerRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
L · KO · R3
Neil MagnyRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Bobby VoelkerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · Sub · R2
Leonardo SantosRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06

Voelker · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Lance BenoistRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
William MacarioRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Robbie LawlerRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Patrick CoteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03

News & Media

William Macario · Bobby Voelker
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