UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz
Manchester, United Kingdom
26 Oct 2013
Middleweight
VS
54%
Machida
46%
Munoz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:10
LM
Lyoto Machida
"The Dragon"
24 – 8
6'1"74" reachSouthpaw47 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 19
MM
Mark Munoz
"The Filipino Wrecking Machine"
14 – 6
Well-Rounded48 yrsOrthodox71" reach6'0"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Machida

This is a genuine toss-up — Machida at 54% vs Munoz at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Munoz throws more volume but Machida connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Machida's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Munoz has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Machida
Munoz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
71"
47+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Machida
Munoz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
15.9
53.8
Performance Avg
48.3
45
Quality of Victory
41
78
Momentum Score
55
Machida
Munoz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Machida
Munoz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Machida
Munoz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/32 fights
Chin rating based on
15/20 fights
Machida
Munoz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
55
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Machida
Munoz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
44%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Machida
Munoz
Striking5.7 / 5.6Volume5.3 / 5.6Grappling1.7 / 1.3Wrestling1.2 / 0.9Submission0.6 / 0.0Pressure5.5 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Machida
Strike Zones
Munoz
Machida
Attacking
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Munoz
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD2BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Machida targets the head (40% of attacks) — Munoz absorbs 40% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Machida
RND
Munoz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Machida · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W3.9L5.2W4.5W5.5L5.0W4.5W6.3L5.0W2.1L2.8L1.8L5.3W5.2W2007-022009-052012-082014-122018-05
WinLossTrend

Munoz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.1W2.9L4.5W1.5L1.5L1.5L4.5W2009-032010-082011-112014-052015-05
WinLossTrend

Machida · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Vitor BelfortRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
W · Dec · R5
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Machida · 2017-10
L · KO · R3
Yoel RomeroRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Luke RockholdRating 2.1
Submission
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold · 2015-04

Munoz · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Luke BarnattRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
L · Sub · R1
Roan CarneiroRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · Sub · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
L · KO · R1
Lyoto MachidaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tim BoetschRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07

News & Media

Lyoto Machida · Mark Munoz
← Back to fights