METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Las Vegas, USA
23 Sept 2023
Heavyweight
VS
67%
Usman
33%
Collier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mohammed UsmanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jake Collier · UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Usman wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Usman holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Collier has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UsmanCollier
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Usman
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
79"+
Reach
78"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Usman
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.7
26.7
46.2
Performance Avg
36.4
33
Quality of Victory
37
83
Momentum Score
45
Usman
Collier
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
3.8
Style: Pressure
3.9
7.3
Style: Volume
5.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
7
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance12
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Usman
Collier
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Usman
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
2
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Usman
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
45
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Usman
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Collier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
UsmanCollier
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedCollier
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (59% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (92% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0
Usman · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Junior TafaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
Collier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01