UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot
Las Vegas, USA
23 Sept 2023
Heavyweight
VS
67%
Usman
33%
Collier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Mohammed
Mohammed Usman
"The Motor"
12 – 4
6'2"79" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 55
JC
Jake Collier
"The Prototype"
13 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Usman

Usman holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Collier has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Collier throws more volume but Usman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Usman
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
79"+
Reach
78"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Usman
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.7
26.7
46.2
Performance Avg
36.4
33
Quality of Victory
37
83
Momentum Score
45
Usman
Collier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.9
44%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
7
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance12
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Usman
Collier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Usman
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
2
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Usman
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
83
45
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Usman
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
40%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Usman
Collier
Striking3.8 / 2.7Volume7.3 / 5.5Grappling1.8 / 3.0Wrestling1.3 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure3.8 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Usman
Strike Zones
Collier
Usman
Attacking
10HEAD7BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Collier
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD7BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (59% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (92% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Usman
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0

Usman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.2W5.3W4.5W6.6L5.5L5.0W2022-082023-042023-092024-032024-072025-06
WinLossTrend

Collier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W3.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W6.2L3.8L6.5L6.5L2014-122017-042021-062023-042023-09
WinLossTrend

Usman · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Hamdy AbdelwahabRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Junior TafaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04

Collier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Mohammed Usman · Jake Collier
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