UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva
Melbourne, Australia
9 Feb 2019
Featherweight
VS
76%
Young
24%
Arnett
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Young
Young is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Young has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Young throws more volume but Arnett connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Young's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Young
Arnett
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
32+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Young
Arnett
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.2
9.7
35.4
Performance Avg
25.0
40
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
28
Young
Arnett
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.4
40%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
28
Head
26
9
Body
0
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
40Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Young
Arnett
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Young
Arnett
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Young
Arnett
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
28
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Young
Arnett
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Young
Arnett
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
YoungArnett
Strike Zones
Young
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedArnett
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Young targets the head (70% of attacks) — Arnett absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Arnett targets the head (100% of attacks) — Young absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Young
RND
Arnett
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Young · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Arnett · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Young · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel MirandaRating 2Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Blake BilderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesRating 5.5Decision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Ludovit KleinRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Austin ArnettRating 4.5Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
Arnett · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Shane YoungRating 5.5Decision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Humberto BandenayRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
L · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Brunson 2 · 2018-01