METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
They have split two meetings across three years, and the man who won the most recent one is now the higher-rated fighter in every category that matters.
This is the third instalment of a rivalry that has already told us most of what it has to tell. Merab Dvalishvili outworked Petr Yan over five rounds in March 2023. Yan reversed it over five rounds at UFC 323 in December 2025. The rubber match arrives with both men on a 100.0 momentum score, which is the model's way of admitting it cannot separate them on trajectory alone. Everywhere else it can.…
Yan (20-5) has won four straight, capped by the five-round decision over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025. Before that he outpointed Marcus McGhee, Deiveson Figueiredo over five rounds and Song Yadong. At 33 he is the younger man, a switch-stance fighter with a 92.0 chin rating and a 44.0 quality-of-victory that is the higher of the two.
Dvalishvili (21-5) lost his most recent fight — the December decision to Yan — after wins over Cory Sandhagen, Sean O'Malley by third-round submission, Umar Nurmagomedov and O'Malley again. Four of those five went the full five rounds. At 35 his 100.0 fade index is the metric that defines him; his 0.14 finish rate is the one that limits him.
Yan won the December 2025 meeting over five rounds; does the same solution work a second time
Dvalishvili's 8.5 volume score against Yan's 4.83 striking — quantity against quality, again
A 44.0 to 33.8 quality-of-victory gap despite Dvalishvili's recent run of title fights
Both fade indices at 100.0, both finish rates under 0.35 — this is built for the scorecards
Dvalishvili's 0.71 submission score is the only finishing mechanism either man has shown lately
If Dvalishvili's 1.84 wrestling converts to sustained control, his volume wins rounds Yan is technically winning
Yan is 4.7 points ahead on composite — a real but narrow margin that a single changed variable could erase
Dvalishvili has beaten Yan before over the same distance; the sample is genuinely split
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown