★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2
Las Vegas, USA
6 Dec 2025
Bantamweight
VS
48%
Dvalishvili
52%
Yan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Merab
Merab Dvalishvili
"The Machine"
21 – 5
5'6"68" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Petr
Petr Yan
"No Mercy"
20 – 5
Well-Rounded4-fight win streak33 yrsSwitch67" reach5'7"
CFR 65

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Yan

This is a genuine toss-up — Dvalishvili at 48% vs Yan at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Yan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Yan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Dvalishvili
Yan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
68"+
Reach
67"
35
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Dvalishvili
Yan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
65.1
53.2
Performance Avg
56.4
34
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
100
Dvalishvili
Yan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.7
43%
Strike Accuracy
57%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
28
8
Body
4
3
Leg
6
RangeRange
32Distance33
3Clinch5
0Ground0
Dvalishvili
Yan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dvalishvili
Yan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/26 fights
Chin rating based on
16/25 fights
Dvalishvili
Yan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Dvalishvili
Yan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dvalishvili
Yan
Striking2.4 / 4.8Volume8.5 / 6.8Grappling2.6 / 1.6Wrestling1.8 / 1.1Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Dvalishvili
Strike Zones
Yan
Dvalishvili
Attacking
24HEAD8BODY3LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD4BODY6LEGS38 absorbed
Yan
Attacking
28HEAD4BODY6LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD8BODY3LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dvalishvili targets the head (69% of attacks) — Yan absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Yan targets the head (74% of attacks) — Dvalishvili absorbs 74% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dvalishvili
RND
Yan
0/0R00/0

Dvalishvili · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L4.7L4.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.0W6.0W6.0W5.8W6.8W6.0W7.0L2017-122020-062023-032025-102025-12
WinLossTrend

Yan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.0W4.5W5.4W4.5W4.5W5.5W6.0W6.1L6.0W6.5L7.0L6.8L5.8W5.6W6.2W5.8W2018-062019-062021-102024-032025-12
WinLossTrend

Dvalishvili · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Petr YanRating 7
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Sub · R3
Sean O'MalleyRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Umar NurmagomedovRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Sean O'MalleyRating 6
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

Yan · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Marcus McGheeRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Dec · R5
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03

News & Media

Merab Dvalishvili · Petr Yan
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