METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
Las Vegas, USA
12 Dec 2020
Middleweight
VS
71%
Holland
29%
Souza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:45
★ Official Result
Kevin HollandwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:45
def. Jacare Souza · UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holland
→
Actual result
Holland wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Holland is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Souza has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Souza has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandSouza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Souza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
81"+
Reach
72"
33+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holland
Souza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
19.5
49.3
Performance Avg
54.6
44
Quality of Victory
53
51
Momentum Score
56
Holland
Souza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
2Clinch0
12Ground2
Holland
Souza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holland
Souza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
36
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
16/36 fights
Holland
Souza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
56
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Holland
Souza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
89%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Souza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
HollandSouza
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSouza
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (93% of attacks) — Souza absorbs 93% of strikes there
🎯Souza targets the head (100% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Souza
0/0R00/0
Holland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Souza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Souza · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Andre MunizRating 2.4Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · Dec · R5
Jan BlachowiczRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
L · Dec · R5
Jack HermanssonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
W · KO · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 230: Cormier vs. Lewis · 2018-11