UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Montreal, Canada
17 Nov 2012
Welterweight
VS
49%
Hendricks
51%
Kampmann
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kampmann
This is a genuine toss-up — Hendricks at 49% vs Kampmann at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Kampmann throws more volume but Hendricks connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kampmann has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hendricks
Kampmann
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
69"
Reach
+72"
42+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Hendricks
Kampmann
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
18.6
48.2
Performance Avg
52.1
39
Quality of Victory
44
80
Momentum Score
76
Hendricks
Kampmann
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Hendricks
Kampmann
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.5
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hendricks
Kampmann
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
17/27 fights
Hendricks
Kampmann
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
76
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R4
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Hendricks
Kampmann
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
64%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hendricks
Kampmann
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.5
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.5
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
HendricksKampmann
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedKampmann
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the head (100% of attacks) — Kampmann absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hendricks
RND
Kampmann
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hendricks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Kampmann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Kampmann · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Carlos ConditRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R1
Johny HendricksRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · KO · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 5.1KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale · 2012-06
W · Sub · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
W · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 4.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11