UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres
Salt Lake City, USA
6 Aug 2016
Welterweight
VS
72%
McGee
28%
Steele
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DS
Dominique Steele
"Non-Stop Action-Packed"
14 – 9
Knockout Artist3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McGee
McGee is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Steele has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: McGee throws more volume but Steele connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
McGee's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McGee
Steele
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
74"
41
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McGee
Steele
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
15.4
40.1
Performance Avg
38.0
36
Quality of Victory
50
50
Momentum Score
26
McGee
Steele
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
1
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance5
2Clinch4
0Ground0
McGee
Steele
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McGee
Steele
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/37 fights
Chin rating based on
5/23 fights
McGee
Steele
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
McGee
Steele
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McGee
Steele
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
McGeeSteele
Strike Zones
McGee
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedSteele
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McGee targets the head (50% of attacks) — Steele absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Steele targets the head (78% of attacks) — McGee absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McGee
RND
Steele
0/0R00/0
McGee · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Steele · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
McGee · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 5.1Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Alex MoronoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Matt BrownRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · KO · R1
Jeremiah WellsRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
Steele · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Luke JumeauRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
L · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
W · KO · R3
Dong Hyun MaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
L · KO · R1
Zak CummingsRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07