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UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
27 Feb 2021
Heavyweight
VS
45%
Rozenstruik
55%
Gane
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Jairzinho
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
156
6'2"78" reachOrthodox38 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 57
Ciryl
Ciryl Gane
"Bon Gamin"
132
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'4"
CFR 70
★ Official Result
Ciryl GanewinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Jairzinho Rozenstruik · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gane
Actual result
Gane wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rozenstruik at 45% vs Gane at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gane has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rozenstruik's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RozenstruikGane
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Rozenstruik
Gane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
78"
Reach
+81"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rozenstruik
Gane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.0
70.0
56.7
Performance Avg
62.1
54
Quality of Victory
48
56
Momentum Score
100
Rozenstruik
Gane
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
63%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
4
0
Body
2
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
4Distance10
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Rozenstruik
Gane
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rozenstruik
Gane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
14/15 fights
Rozenstruik
Gane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Rozenstruik
Gane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
89%
60%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rozenstruik
Gane
Striking10.0 / 5.7Volume2.1 / 4.9Grappling0.3 / 2.6Wrestling0.2 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure8.0 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Rozenstruik
Strike Zones
Gane
Rozenstruik
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY3LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD2BODY5LEGS11 absorbed
Gane
Attacking
4HEAD2BODY5LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY3LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rozenstruik targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Gane absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Gane targets the legs (45% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 45% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rozenstruik
RND
Gane
0/0R00/0

Rozenstruik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.7W5.5W1.9L5.2W7.2L5.2W6.4L2.8L5.3W3.3L6.0W4.9W6.7L2019-022020-052021-092024-032025-02
WinLossTrend

Gane · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.0W5.8W5.1W5.2W5.6W5.8W6.5W5.9L5.7W3.3L5.6W5.8W2019-082020-122021-082023-032024-12
WinLossTrend

Rozenstruik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

Gane · Last 5

Upcoming
Alex Pereira
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
Upcoming
Tom Aspinall
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09
L · Sub · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Ciryl Gane
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