UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Bantamweight
VS
94%
Simon
6%
Pirrello
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Simon
Simon is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Simon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.
Striking split: Simon throws more volume but Pirrello connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Simon's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Pirrello has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Simon
Pirrello
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
69"+
Reach
65"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Simon
Pirrello
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
2.9
48.0
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
56
Momentum Score
0
Simon
Pirrello
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
64%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance3
1Clinch1
5Ground0
Simon
Pirrello
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Simon
Pirrello
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/29 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Simon
Pirrello
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Simon
Pirrello
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Simon
Pirrello
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SimonPirrello
Strike Zones
Simon
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedPirrello
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Simon targets the head (83% of attacks) — Pirrello absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Pirrello targets the head (75% of attacks) — Simon absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Simon
RND
Pirrello
0/0R00/0
Simon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Pirrello · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Simon · Last 5
Upcoming
Adrian YanezDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 6.3Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · KO · R1
Javid BasharatRating 5.4KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Pirrello · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Douglas Silva de AndradeRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Ricky SimonRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01