METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
25 Jul 2026
Lightweight
VS
89%
Zaynukov
11%
Rzepecki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Magomed ZaynukovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Damian Rzepecki · UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Zaynukov
→
Actual result
Zaynukov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Zaynukov is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 53 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Zaynukov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ZaynukovRzepecki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Zaynukov
Rzepecki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
68"
Reach
+71"
31
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Zaynukov
Rzepecki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.8
7.8
55.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Zaynukov
Rzepecki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
10.0
Style: Volume
0.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
0
Body
0
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance4
5Clinch1
0Ground0
Zaynukov
Rzepecki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Zaynukov
Rzepecki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/9 fights
Chin rating based on
1/11 fights
Zaynukov
Rzepecki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Zaynukov
Rzepecki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Zaynukov
Rzepecki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
ZaynukovRzepecki
Strike Zones
Zaynukov
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedRzepecki
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Zaynukov targets the head (70% of attacks) — Rzepecki absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Rzepecki targets the head (60% of attacks) — Zaynukov absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Zaynukov
RND
Rzepecki
0/0R00/0
Zaynukov · Last 1
W · Dec · R3
Damian RzepeckiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
Rzepecki · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Magomed ZaynukovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07