The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2009
Welterweight
VS
50%
Lytle
50%
Burns
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CL
Chris Lytle
"Lights Out"
31 – 18
5'11"68" reachOrthodox51 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 18
KB
Kevin Burns
"The Fire"
12 – 7
Pressure Fighter3-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lytle

This is a genuine toss-up — Lytle at 50% vs Burns at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lytle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Burns has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lytle
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
68"
Reach
+74"
51
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lytle
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
18.6
46.2
Performance Avg
45.8
44
Quality of Victory
50
56
Momentum Score
59
Lytle
Burns
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
36%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
8
10
Body
7
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
41Distance16
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Lytle
Burns
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
3.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lytle
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/49 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Lytle
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Lytle
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lytle
Burns
Striking2.0 / 5.8Volume3.4 / 0.8Grappling5.5 / 4.0Wrestling3.9 / 2.8Submission6.0 / 5.0Pressure6.4 / 8.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
Lytle
Strike Zones
Burns
Lytle
Attacking
34HEAD10BODY0LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD7BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Burns
Attacking
8HEAD7BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
34HEAD10BODY0LEGS44 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lytle targets the head (77% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the head (47% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lytle
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lytle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.8L5.8L5.2W5.2W5.5L4.8L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.6W4.5W5.5L5.5W2000-112005-102008-022010-022011-08
WinLossTrend

Burns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.2W5.5W4.0L5.5L1.5L2008-062008-072008-122009-062009-12
WinLossTrend

Lytle · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

Burns · Last 5

L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
L · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 4
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
W · Sub · R2
Roan CarneiroRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06

News & Media

Chris Lytle · Kevin Burns
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