METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2009
Welterweight
VS
50%
Lytle
50%
Burns
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Chris LytlewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kevin Burns · The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lytle
→
Actual result
Lytle wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Lytle at 50% vs Burns at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Burns has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LytleBurns
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lytle
Burns
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
68"
Reach
+74"
52
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lytle
Burns
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.3
18.6
46.2
Performance Avg
45.8
44
Quality of Victory
50
56
Momentum Score
59
Lytle
Burns
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
8.2
3.4
Style: Volume
0.8
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
34
Head
8
10
Body
7
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
41Distance16
3Clinch1
0Ground0
Lytle
Burns
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.5
/ 10
4.0
/ 10
3.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.8
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
6
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lytle
Burns
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/49 fights
Chin rating based on
5/19 fights
Lytle
Burns
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
59
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R2
Lytle
Burns
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lytle
Burns
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
3.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
LytleBurns
Strike Zones
Lytle
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedBurns
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lytle targets the head (77% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 77% of strikes there
🎯Burns targets the head (47% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lytle
RND
Burns
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownSubmission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterSubmission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantKO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
L · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · KO · R3
Anthony JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC: Silva vs Irvin · 2008-07
W · Sub · R2
Roan CarneiroSubmission
UFC 85: Bedlam · 2008-06