UFC 28: High Stakes
Atlantic City, USA
17 Nov 2000
Welterweight
VS
54%
Earwood
46%
Lytle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 2 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Earwood
This is a genuine toss-up — Earwood at 54% vs Lytle at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lytle has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Lytle throws more volume but Earwood connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Earwood
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
Reach
68"
—
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Earwood
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.6
18.3
56.5
Performance Avg
46.2
28
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
56
Earwood
Lytle
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.1
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Earwood
Lytle
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Earwood
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
80
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/15 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Earwood
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
W · Dec · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Earwood
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
70%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
6
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Earwood
Lytle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
10.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
EarwoodLytle
Strike Zones
Earwood
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedLytle
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Earwood targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the body (100% of attacks) — Earwood absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Earwood
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0
Lytle · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Earwood · Last 1
W · Dec · R2
Chris LytleRating 4.2Decision
UFC 28: High Stakes · 2000-11
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02