METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Denver, USA
11 Aug 2012
Featherweight
VS
91%
Lentz
9%
Mitsuoka
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:45
★ Official Result
Nik LentzwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:45
def. Eiji Mitsuoka · UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Lentz
→
Actual result
Lentz wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Lentz is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lentz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.
Mitsuoka has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lentz's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mitsuoka has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LentzMitsuoka
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lentz
Mitsuoka
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
68"
Reach
41+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lentz
Mitsuoka
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
1.6
45.3
Performance Avg
0.0
35
Quality of Victory
0
53
Momentum Score
0
Lentz
Mitsuoka
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
4
4
Body
1
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
12Clinch0
18Ground1
Lentz
Mitsuoka
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lentz
Mitsuoka
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/42 fights
Chin rating based on
2/27 fights
Lentz
Mitsuoka
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
53
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Lentz
Mitsuoka
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lentz
Mitsuoka
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LentzMitsuoka
Strike Zones
Lentz
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMitsuoka
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lentz targets the head (67% of attacks) — Mitsuoka absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Mitsuoka targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lentz
RND
Mitsuoka
0/0R00/0
Lentz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Mitsuoka · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.1WinLossTrend
Lentz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Mitsuoka · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Nik LentzRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
L · KO · R2
Takanori GomiRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02