UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Sydney, Australia
18 Nov 2017
Heavyweight
VS
32%
Werdum
68%
Tybura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tybura
Tybura holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Werdum has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Werdum has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Werdum throws more volume but Tybura connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Werdum
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
48
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Werdum
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
42.5
57.8
Performance Avg
45.2
52
Quality of Victory
37
72
Momentum Score
58
Werdum
Tybura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
33
7
Body
2
5
Leg
7
RangeRange
36Distance41
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Werdum
Tybura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Werdum
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Werdum
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
58
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Werdum
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
36%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Werdum
Tybura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
WerdumTybura
Strike Zones
Werdum
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
42 absorbedTybura
Attacking
42 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Werdum targets the head (68% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (79% of attacks) — Werdum absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Werdum
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0
Werdum · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Tybura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Werdum · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 5Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 5.5Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R4
Alexander VolkovRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
W · Dec · R5
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
W · Sub · R1
Walt HarrisRating 5Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8Decision
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W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6Decision
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W · R2
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L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2Submission
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