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UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Sydney, Australia
18 Nov 2017
Heavyweight
VS
32%
Werdum
68%
Tybura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 Β· 5:00
FW
Fabricio Werdum
"Vai Cavalo"
24 – 9
6'4"77" reachOrthodox48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
Marcin
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
27 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 43
β˜… Official Result
Fabricio WerdumwinsDecisionR5 Β· 5:00
def. Marcin Tybura Β· UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tybura
β†’
Actual result
Werdum wins
Decision Β· R5
Pre-fight analysis

Tybura holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings β€” but Werdum has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Werdum has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Werdum throws more volume but Tybura connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Werdum's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tybura has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
WerdumTybura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Werdum
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
48
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Werdum
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
42.5
57.8
Performance Avg
45.2
52
Quality of Victory
37
72
Momentum Score
58
Werdum
Tybura
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
33
7
Body
2
5
Leg
7
RangeRange
36Distance41
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Werdum
Tybura
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
2.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Werdum
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
18/33 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Werdum
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
72
58
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R4
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Werdum
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
36%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Werdum
Tybura
Striking4.7 / 4.0Volume4.0 / 5.7Grappling3.5 / 1.9Wrestling2.4 / 1.4Submission3.3 / 0.7Pressure6.7 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Werdum
Strike Zones
Tybura
Werdum
Attacking
26HEAD7BODY5LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD2BODY7LEGS42 absorbed
Tybura
Attacking
33HEAD2BODY7LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD7BODY5LEGS38 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Werdum targets the head (68% of attacks) β€” Tybura absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (79% of attacks) β€” Werdum absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Werdum
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0

Werdum Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.2L5.2W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.1W4.5W5.1W5.2W2.6L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.9W4.6L5.5L5.0W2007-042012-062016-052018-032020-07
WinLossTrend

Tybura Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2L4.5W2.8L1.7L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L5.3W4.5W3.9L5.4W2.0L5.1W5.6W2.5L6.8L2016-042018-072020-122024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Werdum Β· Last 5

W Β· Sub Β· R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till Β· 2020-07
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje Β· 2020-05
L Β· KO Β· R4
Alexander VolkovRating 4.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov Β· 2018-03
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Marcin TyburaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura Β· 2017-11
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Walt HarrisRating 5
Submission
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee Β· 2017-10

Tybura Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer Β· 2026-03
L Β· KO Β· R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho Β· 2025-09
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady Β· 2025-03
W Β· R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic Β· 2024-11
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 Β· 2024-08

News & Media

Fabricio Werdum Β· Marcin Tybura
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