UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Heavyweight
VS
50%
Ivanov
50%
Rothwell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BI
Blagoy Ivanov
"Baga"
196
5'11"73" reachSouthpaw39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 27
BR
Ben Rothwell
3914
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'4"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ivanov

This is a genuine toss-up — Ivanov at 50% vs Rothwell at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rothwell has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.

Rothwell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rothwell has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ivanov
Rothwell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'4"
73"
Reach
+78"
39+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ivanov
Rothwell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.2
27.0
30.0
Performance Avg
49.7
25
Quality of Victory
48
50
Momentum Score
45
Ivanov
Rothwell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
22
7
Body
4
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
24Distance32
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Ivanov
Rothwell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ivanov
Rothwell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
34
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
17/53 fights
Ivanov
Rothwell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Ivanov
Rothwell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
78%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ivanov
Rothwell
Striking0.8 / 5.5Volume8.8 / 2.8Grappling2.4 / 3.2Wrestling1.7 / 2.2Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure1.1 / 7.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Ivanov
Strike Zones
Rothwell
Ivanov
Attacking
15HEAD7BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD4BODY7LEGS33 absorbed
Rothwell
Attacking
22HEAD4BODY7LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD7BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ivanov targets the head (63% of attacks) — Rothwell absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Rothwell targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ivanov absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ivanov
RND
Rothwell
0/0R00/0

Ivanov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L4.5W4.9W6.7L5.7L5.1W5.9L6.3L2018-072019-062020-052023-022023-07
WinLossTrend

Rothwell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0102.8L4.5W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.2W5.5L5.5L6.2L5.2W5.1W5.9L6.3W2.1L2009-102013-082019-032021-052021-11
WinLossTrend

Ivanov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

Rothwell · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Sub · R2
Chris BarnettRating 6.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
W · KO · R2
Stefan StruveRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12

News & Media

Blagoy Ivanov · Ben Rothwell
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