UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Bantamweight
VS
87%
Henry
13%
Falcao
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Victor
Victor Henry
"La Mangosta"
25 – 7
5'7"68" reachSwitch39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 53
Pedro
Pedro Falcao
"Pedrinho"
16 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'6"
CFR 8

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Henry

Henry is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Henry has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Henry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Henry
Falcao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
66"
39
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Henry
Falcao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
7.7
45.4
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
81
Momentum Score
0
Henry
Falcao
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
8
4
Body
4
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance13
3Clinch0
2Ground0
Henry
Falcao
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henry
Falcao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Henry
Falcao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Henry
Falcao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Henry
Falcao
Striking3.8 / 0.0Volume7.3 / 0.0Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Henry
Strike Zones
Falcao
Henry
Attacking
22HEAD4BODY2LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Falcao
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD4BODY2LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Henry targets the head (79% of attacks) — Falcao absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Falcao targets the head (62% of attacks) — Henry absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Henry
RND
Falcao
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Henry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.3W5.5L4.5W5.9W3.5L4.5W2022-012022-102023-032024-042024-112025-04
WinLossTrend

Falcao · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.0
0105.5L6.4L2024-042025-04
WinLossTrend

Henry · Last 5

Upcoming
Bryce Mitchell
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Pedro FalcaoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles JourdainRating 3.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · KO · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Upcoming
Javid Basharat
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Falcao · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Victor HugoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04

News & Media

Victor Henry · Pedro Falcao
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