METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2025
Bantamweight
VS
87%
Henry
13%
Falcao
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Victor HenrywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Pedro Falcao · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Henry
→
Actual result
Henry wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Henry is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Henry has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Henry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HenryFalcao
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Henry
Falcao
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
68"+
Reach
66"
39
Age
+33
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Henry
Falcao
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
7.7
45.4
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
81
Momentum Score
0
Henry
Falcao
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
1.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
8
4
Body
4
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
23Distance13
3Clinch0
2Ground0
Henry
Falcao
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henry
Falcao
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/21 fights
Henry
Falcao
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Henry
Falcao
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henry
Falcao
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HenryFalcao
Strike Zones
Henry
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedFalcao
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henry targets the head (79% of attacks) — Falcao absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Falcao targets the head (62% of attacks) — Henry absorbs 62% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henry
RND
Falcao
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Henry · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Falcao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Henry · Last 5
Upcoming
Bryce MitchellUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Pedro FalcaoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Sub · R2
Charles JourdainRating 3.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · KO · R3
Rani YahyaRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Upcoming
Javid BasharatUFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
Falcao · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Victor HugoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04