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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis
Norfolk, USA
11 Nov 2017
Middleweight
VS
48%
Stewart
52%
Roberson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:41
DS
Darren Stewart
"The Dentist"
12 – 8
6'0"74" reachOrthodox35 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
KR
Karl Roberson
"Baby K"
9 – 6
Well-Rounded4-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Karl RobersonwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:41
def. Darren Stewart · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Roberson
→
Actual result
Roberson wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Stewart at 48% vs Roberson at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Stewart's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roberson has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
StewartRoberson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stewart
Roberson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
74"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stewart
Roberson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.1
18.7
42.3
Performance Avg
38.3
43
Quality of Victory
37
68
Momentum Score
25
Stewart
Roberson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
4.7
4.0
Style: Volume
4.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
12
0
Body
5
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance5
2Clinch9
0Ground3
Stewart
Roberson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stewart
Roberson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
8
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
10/15 fights
Stewart
Roberson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
68
25
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
Stewart
Roberson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stewart
Roberson
Striking4.8 / 0.8Volume4.0 / 4.8Grappling2.6 / 5.2Wrestling1.8 / 3.6Submission2.0 / 5.0Pressure5.5 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Stewart
Strike Zones
Roberson
Stewart
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD5BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Roberson
Attacking
12HEAD5BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stewart targets the head (50% of attacks) — Roberson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Roberson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stewart
RND
Roberson
0/0R00/0

Stewart · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Dustin Jacoby
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk Anders
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Upcoming
Eryk Anders
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin Holland
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Maki Pitolo
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08

Roberson · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Kennedy Nzechukwu
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Khalil Rountree Jr.
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · Sub · R1
Brendan Allen
Submission
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Sub · R1
Marvin Vettori
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvillo · 2020-06
W · Sub · R3
Roman Kopylov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

News & Media

Darren Stewart · Karl Roberson
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