METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
Sacramento, USA
17 Dec 2016
Featherweight
VS
67%
Miller
33%
Hirota
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Mizuto HirotawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Cole Miller · UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Miller
→
Actual result
Hirota wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Miller holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Hirota has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Risk flags
Miller's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MillerHirota
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Miller
Hirota
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
67"
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miller
Hirota
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
8.6
49.0
Performance Avg
21.7
47
Quality of Victory
25
49
Momentum Score
15
Miller
Hirota
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
0.5
2.6
Style: Volume
8.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
14
1
Body
3
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground11
Miller
Hirota
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
7.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Miller
Hirota
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
90
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/28 fights
Miller
Hirota
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
15
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Miller
Hirota
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miller
Hirota
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
7.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.5
2.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
MillerHirota
Strike Zones
Miller
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedHirota
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miller targets the head (57% of attacks) — Hirota absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Hirota targets the head (78% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miller
RND
Hirota
0/0R00/0
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Hirota · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosDecision
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Upcoming
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