METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Las Vegas, USA
27 Mar 2021
Welterweight
VS
60%
Gooden
40%
Nurmagomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Abubakar NurmagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jared Gooden · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gooden
→
Actual result
Nurmagomedov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Gooden holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Nurmagomedov has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gooden has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GoodenNurmagomedov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gooden
Nurmagomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
77"+
Reach
72"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gooden
Nurmagomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
29.8
44.3
Performance Avg
35.0
55
Quality of Victory
25
33
Momentum Score
56
Gooden
Nurmagomedov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
7.9
Style: Pressure
1.5
0.6
Style: Volume
9.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
3
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
2Clinch0
5Ground0
Gooden
Nurmagomedov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gooden
Nurmagomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/33 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Gooden
Nurmagomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
56
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Gooden
Nurmagomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gooden
Nurmagomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
GoodenNurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Gooden
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedNurmagomedov
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gooden targets the head (75% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (71% of attacks) — Gooden absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gooden
RND
Nurmagomedov
0/0R00/0
Gooden · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniDecision
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Wellington TurmanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlston HarrisDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · KO · R1
Niklas StolzeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
Nurmagomedov · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · Dec · R3
Gadzhi OmargadzhievDecision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenDecision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
David ZawadaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11