UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Flyweight
VS
52%
Johnson
48%
Hadley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Charles
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
19 – 8
5'9"70" reachSwitch35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Jake
Jake Hadley
"White Kong"
11 – 4
Well-Rounded29 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'7"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 52% vs Hadley at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson
Hadley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
35
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Hadley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
48.7
48.4
Performance Avg
44.0
43
Quality of Victory
45
75
Momentum Score
67
Johnson
Hadley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
3
Body
4
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Johnson
Hadley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Hadley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
68
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Johnson
Hadley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
67
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Johnson
Hadley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Hadley
Striking4.9 / 4.2Volume6.1 / 3.5Grappling1.5 / 3.5Wrestling1.1 / 2.4Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure4.3 / 6.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Johnson
Strike Zones
Hadley
Johnson
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY4LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Hadley
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY4LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (63% of attacks) — Hadley absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Hadley targets the head (55% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Hadley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.9L4.5W5.5W6.3L5.6L6.1L4.5W5.2W7.1W5.1W7.3L6.0W2.8L5.4W2022-072023-042024-072026-012026-03
WinLossTrend

Hadley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0107.0L5.2W5.0W5.6L6.4L4.6W5.5L2022-052023-032024-052024-10
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

Upcoming
Asu Almabayev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Ramazan TemirovRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03

Hadley · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranRating 4.6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Charles Johnson · Jake Hadley
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