METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
St. Louis, USA
11 May 2024
Flyweight
VS
54%
Johnson
46%
Hadley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Charles JohnsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jake Hadley · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 54% vs Hadley at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonHadley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Hadley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
70"
Reach
70"
35
Age
+30
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Johnson
Hadley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.5
48.7
48.2
Performance Avg
44.0
43
Quality of Victory
45
96
Momentum Score
67
Johnson
Hadley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
6.0
5.6
Style: Volume
3.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
6
3
Body
4
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance11
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Johnson
Hadley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Hadley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
92
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Johnson
Hadley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
67
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Johnson
Hadley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Hadley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
JohnsonHadley
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedHadley
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (63% of attacks) — Hadley absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Hadley targets the head (55% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Hadley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Johnson · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
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W · KO · R2
Lone'er KavanaghKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
Hadley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cameron SmothermanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Caolan LoughranDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Cody DurdenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08
W · KO · R1
Malcolm GordonKO/TKO
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