UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Las Vegas, USA
18 Sept 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
59%
Cutelaba
41%
Clark
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cutelaba
This is a genuine toss-up — Cutelaba at 59% vs Clark at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Cutelaba has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Cutelaba throws more volume but Clark connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cutelaba's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clark has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cutelaba
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
32+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Cutelaba
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.5
28.7
47.1
Performance Avg
35.7
47
Quality of Victory
28
26
Momentum Score
43
Cutelaba
Clark
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.3
45%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
6
0
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch5
6Ground3
Cutelaba
Clark
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cutelaba
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
4
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/31 fights
Chin rating based on
17/23 fights
Cutelaba
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Cutelaba
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
13%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cutelaba
Clark
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
CutelabaClark
Strike Zones
Cutelaba
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedClark
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cutelaba targets the head (100% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the head (67% of attacks) — Cutelaba absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cutelaba
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cutelaba · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Clark · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Cutelaba · Last 5
Upcoming
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