UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
5 Feb 2022
Middleweight
VS
48%
Hermansson
52%
Strickland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Strickland
This is a genuine toss-up — Hermansson at 48% vs Strickland at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Strickland throws more volume but Hermansson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hermansson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Strickland has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hermansson
Strickland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
76"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hermansson
Strickland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
57.7
48.1
Performance Avg
50.9
42
Quality of Victory
37
97
Momentum Score
100
Hermansson
Strickland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
45%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
32
16
Body
4
5
Leg
2
RangeRange
26Distance38
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hermansson
Strickland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.3
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.6
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hermansson
Strickland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/34 fights
Chin rating based on
25/38 fights
Hermansson
Strickland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Hermansson
Strickland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hermansson
Strickland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
HermanssonStrickland
Strike Zones
Hermansson
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedStrickland
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hermansson targets the body (62% of attacks) — Strickland absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Strickland targets the head (84% of attacks) — Hermansson absorbs 84% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hermansson
RND
Strickland
0/0R00/0
Hermansson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Strickland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Hermansson · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Myktybek OrolbaiRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Joe PyferRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Roman DolidzeRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
Strickland · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 6.4Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R3
Anthony HernandezRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R5
Paulo CostaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisRating 7.4Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01

