UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Heavyweight
VS
80%
Petrino
20%
Lane
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:16
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Petrino
Petrino is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Petrino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Petrino has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lane has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Petrino
Lane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'6"
77"
Reach
+80"
28+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrino
Lane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
14.4
55.0
Performance Avg
21.7
40
Quality of Victory
25
71
Momentum Score
0
Petrino
Lane
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Petrino
Lane
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrino
Lane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Petrino
Lane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Petrino
Lane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petrino
Lane
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
PetrinoLane
Strike Zones
Petrino
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedLane
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lane absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lane targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petrino
RND
Lane
0/0R00/0
Petrino · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Lane · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Petrino · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Steven AsplundRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Austen LaneRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
Lane · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 2.6Submission
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L · KO · R2
Mario PintoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Robelis DespaigneRating 5.3Decision
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L · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 3.6KO/TKO
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