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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Heavyweight
VS
80%
Petrino
20%
Lane
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:16
Vitor
Vitor Petrino
142
6'2"77" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Austen
Austen Lane
138
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'6"
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Vitor PetrinowinsSubmissionR1 · 4:16
def. Austen Lane · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Petrino
Actual result
Petrino wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Petrino is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Petrino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Petrino has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lane has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PetrinoLane
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Petrino
Lane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'6"
77"
Reach
+80"
28+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrino
Lane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
14.4
55.0
Performance Avg
21.7
40
Quality of Victory
25
71
Momentum Score
0
Petrino
Lane
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.9
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Petrino
Lane
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrino
Lane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Petrino
Lane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
0
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Petrino
Lane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Petrino
Lane
Striking4.4 / 0.3Volume5.0 / 8.3Grappling3.3 / 2.4Wrestling2.3 / 1.7Submission2.9 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 0.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Petrino
Strike Zones
Lane
Petrino
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Lane
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lane absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lane targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Petrino
RND
Lane
0/0R00/0

Petrino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.9W6.1W5.5W2.7L5.4L5.0W5.5W5.9W2023-032024-032025-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Lane · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0103.1L3.6L5.3W4.7L2.6L3.9L2023-092024-042024-102025-032025-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Petrino · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Steven AsplundRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Austen LaneRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

Lane · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Iwo BaraniewskiRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Vitor PetrinoRating 2.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Mario PintoRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Robelis DespaigneRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

News & Media

Vitor Petrino · Austen Lane
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