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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
Nashville, USA
12 Jul 2025
Heavyweight
VS
80%
Petrino
20%
Lane
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:16
Vitor
Vitor Petrino
142
6'2"77" reachOrthodox29 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 59
Austen
Austen Lane
138
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'6"
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Vitor PetrinowinsSubmissionR1 · 4:16
def. Austen Lane · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Petrino
Actual result
Petrino wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Petrino is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Petrino has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lane has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
PetrinoLane
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Petrino
Lane
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'6"
77"
Reach
+80"
29+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrino
Lane
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.9
14.4
54.8
Performance Avg
21.7
38
Quality of Victory
25
81
Momentum Score
0
Petrino
Lane
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
0.5
5.6
Style: Volume
8.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Petrino
Lane
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petrino
Lane
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Petrino
Lane
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Petrino
Lane
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Petrino
Lane
Striking4.1 / 0.3Volume5.6 / 8.3Grappling3.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.9 / 0.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.5
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Petrino
Strike Zones
Lane
Petrino
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Lane
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (67% of attacks) — Lane absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Lane targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Petrino
RND
Lane
0/0R00/0

Petrino · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Serghei Spivac
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Steven Asplund
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Thomas Petersen
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Austen Lane
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dustin Jacoby
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

Lane · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Iwo Baraniewski
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R1
Vitor Petrino
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R2
Mario Pinto
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Robelis Despaigne
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · KO · R2
Jhonata Diniz
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

News & Media

Vitor Petrino · Austen Lane
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