UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Houston, USA
3 Oct 2015
Heavyweight
VS
51%
Jordan
49%
Magomedov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jordan
This is a genuine toss-up — Jordan at 51% vs Magomedov at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jordan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Jordan has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jordan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Jordan
Magomedov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+78"
41
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jordan
Magomedov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.9
21.3
57.5
Performance Avg
55.0
56
Quality of Victory
25
72
Momentum Score
100
Jordan
Magomedov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
51%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
23
1
Body
6
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance27
5Clinch3
0Ground0
Jordan
Magomedov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jordan
Magomedov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Jordan
Magomedov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Jordan
Magomedov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jordan
Magomedov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
JordanMagomedov
Strike Zones
Jordan
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedMagomedov
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jordan targets the head (57% of attacks) — Magomedov absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Magomedov targets the head (77% of attacks) — Jordan absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jordan
RND
Magomedov
0/0R00/0
Jordan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Magomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jordan · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ruslan MagomedovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.5KO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
Jared CannonierRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
W · KO · R3
Jack MayRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs Saint Preux · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
Magomedov · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Shawn JordanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
W · Dec · R3
Josh CopelandRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
W · Dec · R3
Viktor PestaRating 4.5Decision
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