UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Ottawa, Canada
18 Jun 2016
Welterweight
VS
64%
Cerrone
36%
Cote
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:35
DC
Donald Cerrone
"Cowboy"
36 – 17
6'1"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs6-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 28
PC
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
23 – 11
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Cerrone

Cerrone holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Cote has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Cerrone throws more volume but Cote connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Cerrone's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cote has a chin rating of 8 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Cerrone
Cote
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
73"
Reach
+75"
43+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cerrone
Cote
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
28.2
16.1
53.0
Performance Avg
41.8
47
Quality of Victory
38
63
Momentum Score
79
Cerrone
Cote
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.0
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
5
2
Body
7
5
Leg
1
RangeRange
12Distance12
3Clinch1
5Ground0
Cerrone
Cote
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerrone
Cote
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
8
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
38/53 fights
Chin rating based on
21/34 fights
Cerrone
Cote
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
79
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cerrone
Cote
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
40%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cerrone
Cote
Striking5.6 / 5.0Volume3.7 / 5.0Grappling2.8 / 1.2Wrestling2.0 / 0.8Submission2.6 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Cerrone
Strike Zones
Cote
Cerrone
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY5LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD7BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Cote
Attacking
5HEAD7BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY5LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cerrone targets the head (65% of attacks) — Cote absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Cote targets the body (54% of attacks) — Cerrone absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cerrone
RND
Cote
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
0/0R20/0

Cerrone · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W4.5W6.4W5.0W5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.7L5.2W5.0W5.5W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.2W1.7L5.0W5.5W5.2W5.9W2.8L5.8L1.5L5.0W6.6L5.0W6.1W4.5W5.3L3.1L3.5L5.5L1.5L3.2L2011-022013-112016-062019-052022-07
WinLossTrend

Cote · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.8L2.8L5.5L5.5L4.0W4.5W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.5L2004-102008-012012-112016-012017-04
WinLossTrend

Cerrone · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jim MillerRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Waterson · 2021-05
Upcoming
Niko Price
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Anthony PettisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · KO · R1
Conor McGregorRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · 2020-01

Cote · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · KO · R3
Donald CerroneRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · KO · R2
Ben SaundersRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · 2016-01
W · KO · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Joe RiggsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04

News & Media

Donald Cerrone · Patrick Cote
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