UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Middleweight
VS
67%
Maia
33%
Miranda
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Maia
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Miranda has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miranda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Miranda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Maia
Miranda
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Miranda
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
16.2
50.8
Performance Avg
43.0
40
Quality of Victory
55
100
Momentum Score
22
Maia
Miranda
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.4
41%
Strike Accuracy
56%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
1Clinch0
4Ground3
Maia
Miranda
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Miranda
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
4/21 fights
Maia
Miranda
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
22
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Maia
Miranda
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
11
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Miranda
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
MaiaMiranda
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedMiranda
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (88% of attacks) — Miranda absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Miranda targets the head (50% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Miranda
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Miranda · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Miranda · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Aaron SimpsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
David LoiseauRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Gerald HarrisRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03