UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jul 2021
Bantamweight
VS
71%
Phillips
29%
Paiva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Kyler
Kyler Phillips
"The Matrix"
12 – 5
5'8"72" reachOrthodox30 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
RP
Raulian Paiva
21 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'8"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Phillips

Phillips is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Paiva throws more volume but Phillips connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Phillips
Paiva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
72"+
Reach
69"
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Phillips
Paiva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.8
20.1
44.0
Performance Avg
38.1
33
Quality of Victory
35
58
Momentum Score
20
Phillips
Paiva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
37%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
11
2
Body
4
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance15
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Phillips
Paiva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Phillips
Paiva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
7/26 fights
Phillips
Paiva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Phillips
Paiva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Phillips
Paiva
Striking2.9 / 4.2Volume6.5 / 6.2Grappling2.9 / 1.6Wrestling2.0 / 1.1Submission1.7 / 0.0Pressure4.1 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
Phillips
Strike Zones
Paiva
Phillips
Attacking
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD4BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Paiva
Attacking
11HEAD4BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD2BODY2LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Phillips targets the head (75% of attacks) — Paiva absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Paiva targets the head (73% of attacks) — Phillips absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Phillips
RND
Paiva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Phillips · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W5.2W5.8W5.5L5.5W5.3W5.0W6.7L6.5L6.3L2020-022021-072024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Paiva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.4L4.0L5.2W4.5W5.2W3.0L5.5L2019-022020-022021-072022-06
WinLossTrend

Phillips · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Vinicius OliveiraRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Rob FontRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Raoni BarcelosRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Font · 2023-08

Paiva · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergey MorozovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Sean O'MalleyRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Kyler PhillipsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Zhalgas ZhumagulovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · KO · R2
Mark De La RosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02

News & Media

Kyler Phillips · Raulian Paiva
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