METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Miami, USA
12 Apr 2025
Middleweight
VS
34%
Dumas
66%
Oleksiejczuk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:49
★ Official Result
Michal OleksiejczukwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:49
def. Sedriques Dumas · UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oleksiejczuk
→
Actual result
Oleksiejczuk wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Oleksiejczuk holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Dumas has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oleksiejczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Risk flags
Dumas's chin rating of 20 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oleksiejczuk has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DumasOleksiejczuk
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dumas
Oleksiejczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
31
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Dumas
Oleksiejczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.6
52.9
30.0
Performance Avg
54.0
25
Quality of Victory
53
35
Momentum Score
52
Dumas
Oleksiejczuk
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
9.1
/ 10
1.1
Style: Pressure
7.3
8.8
Style: Volume
2.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
8 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
27
2
Body
7
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground21
Dumas
Oleksiejczuk
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dumas
Oleksiejczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
20
24
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
6
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/15 fights
Chin rating based on
19/31 fights
Dumas
Oleksiejczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
52
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Dumas
Oleksiejczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
80%
0
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dumas
Oleksiejczuk
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
DumasOleksiejczuk
Strike Zones
Dumas
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedOleksiejczuk
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dumas targets the body (67% of attacks) — Oleksiejczuk absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Oleksiejczuk targets the head (79% of attacks) — Dumas absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dumas
RND
Oleksiejczuk
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dumas · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Jackson McVeySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Sub · R2
Donte JohnsonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
Upcoming
Zach ReeseNoche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Denis TiuliulinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
Oleksiejczuk · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Abus MagomedovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
W · KO · R1
Gerald MeerschaertKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Sedriques DumasKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08