UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
Newark, USA
27 Mar 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
21%
Wallace
79%
Hamman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hamman
Hamman is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hamman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Striking split: Hamman throws more volume but Wallace connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hamman has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Wallace
Hamman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'3"
72"
Reach
+75"
44
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Wallace
Hamman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.6
10.0
0.0
Performance Avg
35.4
0
Quality of Victory
40
0
Momentum Score
0
Wallace
Hamman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
2.8
50%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
11
1
Body
11
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
3Clinch1
0Ground19
Wallace
Hamman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wallace
Hamman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
20
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/41 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Wallace
Hamman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Wallace
Hamman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wallace
Hamman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
WallaceHamman
Strike Zones
Wallace
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedHamman
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wallace targets the head (88% of attacks) — Hamman absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Hamman targets the head (50% of attacks) — Wallace absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wallace
RND
Hamman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Wallace · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Hamman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Wallace · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Jared HammanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Brian StannRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
Hamman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Magnus CedenbladRating 1.5Submission
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · 2013-08
L · KO · R2
Michael KuiperRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
L · KO · R1
Constantinos PhilippouRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · KO · R2
CB DollawayRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Kyle KingsburyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09