UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov
Albany, USA
9 Dec 2016
Featherweight
VS
30%
Silva
70%
Burgos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Burgos
Burgos is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Burgos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Burgos has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Burgos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
70"
Reach
+75"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Burgos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.6
31.9
35.0
Performance Avg
50.0
25
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
100
Silva
Burgos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
29
5
Body
3
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
26Distance30
1Clinch0
0Ground2
Silva
Burgos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Burgos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/27 fights
Chin rating based on
11/18 fights
Silva
Burgos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Silva
Burgos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Burgos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.5
SilvaBurgos
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedBurgos
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (56% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Burgos targets the head (91% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 91% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Burgos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Burgos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Shane BurgosRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
W · Dec · R3
Clay CollardRating 4.5Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09
L · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Akbarh ArreolaRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
Burgos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.7Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11