UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping
London, United Kingdom
27 Feb 2016
Lightweight
VS
49%
Packalen
51%
Gouti
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:24
TP
Teemu Packalen
"Pacu"
8 – 3
6'1"75" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 16
TG
Thibault Gouti
"GT"
12 – 5
Knockout Artist2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gouti

This is a genuine toss-up — Packalen at 49% vs Gouti at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Packalen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Packalen's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gouti has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Packalen
Gouti
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Packalen
Gouti
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
16.4
42.4
Performance Avg
42.7
54
Quality of Victory
60
29
Momentum Score
33
Packalen
Gouti
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
4Ground0
Packalen
Gouti
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Packalen
Gouti
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
50
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
6/17 fights
Packalen
Gouti
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
29
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
Packalen
Gouti
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Packalen
Gouti
Striking0.5 / 10.0Volume0.5 / 0.3Grappling8.0 / 0.0Wrestling5.6 / 0.0Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 7.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.3
Packalen
Strike Zones
Gouti
Packalen
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Gouti
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Packalen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gouti absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Packalen
RND
Gouti
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Packalen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0105.5L5.0W1.6L2.3L2015-072016-022017-032019-09
WinLossTrend

Gouti · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0101.5L4.0L1.5L5.0W5.5L6.2L2016-022016-062016-082017-092018-022018-10
WinLossTrend

Packalen · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Ottman AzaitarRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09
L · KO · R1
Marc DiakieseRating 1.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
W · Sub · R1
Thibault GoutiRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Mickael LeboutRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07

Gouti · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Sage NorthcuttRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
W · KO · R1
Andrew HolbrookRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Chad LapriseRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08
L · Sub · R3
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

News & Media

Teemu Packalen · Thibault Gouti
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