Teemu Packalen vs Thibault Gouti — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping

London, United Kingdom

27 Feb 2016

Lightweight

49%

Packalen

51%

Gouti

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 0:24

Teemu Packalen

"Pacu"

8 – 3

6'1"75" reachOrthodox39 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter

CFR 16

Thibault Gouti

"GT"

12 – 5

Knockout Artist2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"

CFR 16

★ Official Result

Teemu PackalenwinsSubmissionR1 · 0:24

def. Thibault Gouti · UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Gouti

→

Actual result

Packalen wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Packalen at 49% vs Gouti at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Packalen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Packalen's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gouti has a chin rating of 50 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

PackalenGouti

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Packalen

Gouti

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

5'10"

75"+

Reach

72"

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Packalen

Gouti

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

16.0

16.4

42.4

Performance Avg

42.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Packalen

Gouti

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.4

1.3

55%

Strike Accuracy

35%

0.5

Striking Style Score (/10)

10.0

0 KOs

KO Finishes

1 KOs

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance0

0Clinch0

4Ground0

Packalen

Gouti

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.0

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

5.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.0

10.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Packalen

Gouti

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

3 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

4/11 fights

Chin rating based on

6/17 fights

Packalen

Gouti

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · KO · R1

L · Sub · R3

Packalen

Gouti

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Packalen

Gouti

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

8.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

5.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

10.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.5

0.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.3

Packalen

Strike Zones

Gouti

Packalen

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

0 absorbed

Gouti

Attacking

0 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Packalen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gouti absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Packalen

RND

Gouti

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Packalen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6

WinLossTrend

Gouti · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9

WinLossTrend

Packalen · Last 4

L · KO · R1

Ottman AzaitarRating 2.3

KO/TKO

UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier · 2019-09

L · KO · R1

Marc DiakieseRating 1.6

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03

W · Sub · R1

Thibault GoutiRating 5

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

L · Dec · R3

Mickael LeboutRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07

Gouti · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

L · Dec · R3

Sage NorthcuttRating 5.5

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

W · KO · R1

Andrew HolbrookRating 5

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Struve · 2017-09

L · KO · R1

Chad LapriseRating 1.5

KO/TKO

UFC on FOX: Maia vs. Condit · 2016-08

L · Sub · R3

Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 4

Submission

UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06

News & Media

Teemu Packalen · Thibault Gouti

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