METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
New York City, USA
11 Nov 2023
Lightweight
VS
52%
Gordon
48%
Madsen
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:42
★ Official Result
Jared GordonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:42
def. Mark Madsen · UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gordon
→
Actual result
Gordon wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Gordon at 52% vs Madsen at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Gordon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Madsen has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GordonMadsen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gordon
Madsen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+72"
38+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gordon
Madsen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.1
39.0
42.8
Performance Avg
46.9
36
Quality of Victory
34
63
Momentum Score
79
Gordon
Madsen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.4
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
3.8
6.4
Style: Volume
7.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
23
5
Body
12
4
Leg
0
RangeRange
22Distance16
10Clinch19
4Ground0
Gordon
Madsen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gordon
Madsen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/30 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Gordon
Madsen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
79
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Gordon
Madsen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gordon
Madsen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
GordonMadsen
Strike Zones
Gordon
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedMadsen
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gordon targets the head (75% of attacks) — Madsen absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Madsen targets the head (66% of attacks) — Gordon absorbs 66% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gordon
RND
Madsen
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Gordon · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
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L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastDecision
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W · KO · R1
Mark MadsenKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Madsen · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Jared GordonKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
L · Sub · R3
Grant DawsonSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardDecision
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